China Economic Outlook

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Resident Representative constituent, Peoples Republic of China CHINA ECONOMIC OUTLOOK September 26, 2011 A stave UPDATE This document has been prepared by the IMF Resident Representative Office in Beijing. It updates ply projections of the main macroeconomic aggregates underlying the IMFs recently released World Economic Outlook Report. It also offers staff views on recent economic trends and their policy implications. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS The economy is decelerating notwithstanding still humming 1.Growth is moderating. The on- going withdrawal of monetary input and the scaling back of public spending are star(p) to a healthy slowdown. Growth in the second dope was moderately below that seen earlier in the year and the handover from public domaindemandappearstobesteadily Retail Sales (In percent, year-on-year growth) 20 10 0 Total (LHS)AutomobilesDurable goods 100 50 0 -10 -50 along at an enviable pace progressing. Labor market conditions are good, encouraging household consumption.

At the Jan-07Dec-07Nov-08Oct-09Sep-10Aug-11 Fixed Asset Investment (In percent, year-on-year growth) sametime, nonpublicinvestmenthas compensated for waning public infrastructure outlays. late indicatorsâ€"including retail sales,industrialproduction,fixedasset investment,andpurchasingmanagers indicesâ€" stageto theeconomy smoothly 60 40 20 0 -20 Total investment Private Public 60 40 20 0 -20 Food prices remain elevated as a new food navigating toward a soft landing. The main guess on the horizon is, not surprisingly, from the broader downside risks to the global economy (see the IMFs latest World Economic Outlook, Jan-07 Dec-07 Nov-08 Oct-09Sep-10 Aug-11 Inflation (In percent) 1040 Food share (y/y)... If you want to get a full essay, order it on our website: Orderessay

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